A new NBER working paper proposes that interest rates may explain the apparent disconnect between consumer sentiment and traditional economic indicators, suggesting that rising borrowing costs have weighed on consumer confidence despite a strong labor market and GDP growth.
The United States has become the world's largest natural gas exporter, driven by the Shale Revolution's fracking and horizontal drilling technologies. A new NBER paper by Lucas W. Davis estimates this shift saved Americans between $3.1 trillion and $4.3 trillion from 2007 to 2025, or roughly $500 to $700 per person annually.
Anthony Pompliano interviewed Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, who manages $200 billion in assets. They discussed opportunities in private credit, gold, Bitcoin, India, and ETFs, covering topics such as AI adoption, U.S. government debt, and the comparison between Bitcoin and gold as investment assets.
The S&P 500 has risen over 17% in eight weeks, a feat achieved only 10 times since 1990. Historically, stocks were positive 12 months later in eight of those nine prior instances, with the sole exception occurring during the dot-com bubble crash.
Customers are recognizing that tokens from three major IPOs are being burned for millions of dollars with little tangible return on investment.
In a discussion with Anthony Pompliano, Jan van Eck of VanEck, which manages $200 billion in assets, expressed optimism about India's economic growth under Prime Minister Modi, citing strong pro-business policies, the highest GDP growth, and a prediction that India's economy could match continental Europe's size within a decade.