Is the 4-year cycle still king?
The post questions whether the traditional 4-year market cycle remains relevant, accompanied by a video discussing the topic.
Background
Anthony Pompliano ("Pomp") is a prominent Bitcoin bull, investor, and co-founder of Morgan Creek Digital. This tweet asks whether Bitcoin's historical 4-year market cycle (roughly aligned with its halving events, which cut miner rewards in half every ~4 years) remains reliable. Since Bitcoin's 2009 launch, the pattern has been: a year of price discovery, a peak, a crash (crypto winter), then a bottom leading into the next halving. Pompliano's question reflects a debated topic in crypto: the 2024 halving has already occurred, yet the typical euphoric rally has not materialized as clearly, leading analysts to wonder whether Bitcoin is maturing into a more conventional macro asset (correlated with liquidity cycles) or whether the old rhythm is simply delayed.