The article discusses how AI doomers employ a Pascal's Wager argument to justify extreme caution about artificial intelligence risks. It examines the logical structure of this argument and its implications for AI policy and development approaches.
Job seekers face a tough environment, but widespread AI-caused job losses have been overblown so far. Instead, AI is creating demand for workers with AI skills, while those who don't adapt may face replacement. Companies are building smaller, AI-native teams as AI makes individuals more productive.
Wall Street firms are showing increasing interest in bitcoin, with multiple institutions competing to enter the cryptocurrency market. This heightened activity reflects growing institutional adoption of digital assets.
Robinhood is growing twice as fast as Charles Schwab across all major metrics, prompting traditional brokerages to adopt crypto, prediction markets, and tokenization strategies to remain competitive.
The S&P 500 has recorded three consecutive weeks with at least 3% gains, an occurrence that has only happened three times in the last 76 years. The previous two instances preceded some of the most powerful bull runs in American history, with average returns of 33% over the following 12 months.
The equity risk premium is a key component in corporate finance hurdle rates, valuation discount rates, and financial planning expected returns. A 2026 update of the author's comprehensive paper on ERP is now available for practitioners.