Imagine what it will be like if 5 years from now models have improved on Fable as much as Fable has improved on GPT3.
Paul Graham speculates about future AI progress, imagining how advanced models might become in five years if they improve upon the current model Fable as much as Fable has improved upon GPT-3. The post quotes Jared Friedman praising Fable as "insanely good" and deserving of its hype.
Background
- Paul Graham (YC co-founder) is tweeting about the rapid pace of AI progress. GPT-3 (2020) was a breakthrough model that could generate coherent text; Fable is a much more capable newer model referenced by Jared Friedman (another YC partner).<br />- The tweet's point: if the gap between GPT-3 and Fable is as large as it feels, and that same leap happens again within 5 years, the resulting AI would be almost unimaginably powerful. It's an argument for exponential improvement in AI capabilities.<br />- Y Combinator is a top Silicon Valley startup accelerator. These figures are closely watched in tech for their views on AI trends.